These Are The 10 Safest Cities In Arizona For 2018
We used data and science to determine the places in Arizona where everyone sleeps safe and sound.
We all want the finer things in life. Love, comfort and safety are at the top of everyone's list. For a lot of people who live in the fine state of Arizona, safety isn't a problem, but we don't live in the safest state, either. Arizona is somewhere in the middle.
The purpose of this post is to determine where the safest places to live are in the Grand Canyon State. Those places where crime is usually something you hear about on Facebook, but not in your local paper.
After analyzing 47 places in Arizona with a population of more than 5,000, we came up with this list as the safest places here:
- Florence (Photos)
- Buckeye (Photos)
- Gilbert (Photos)
- Oro Valley (Photos)
- Paradise Valley (Photos)
- Sahuarita (Photos)
- Somerton (Photos)
- San Luis
- Maricopa (Photos)
Read on below to see how we crunched the numbers and how your town ranked. Or for more reading on safe places to read, check out:
How we calculated the safest cities in Arizona
While there are surveys and public polls on what cities in a state are the safest, we didn't want to rely on speculation and opinion. Instead, we looked at the hard numbers from the FBI's most recent report of crime (Sept 2017). Specifically, we analyzed the FBI's Uniform Crime Report which summarizes the number of property crimes and violent crimes in each city per year. We used two criteria:
- Violent crimes per capita (murders, assaults, rapes, armed robberies)
- Property crimes per capita (thefts, burglaries, motor vehicle thefts)
For example, there were a total of 173 crimes committed in Florence which had a reported population of 31,130. That means the number of crimes per capita is 0.00556 which translates into a 1 in 180 chance of being the victim of a crime.
We only looked at cities that have populations of more than 5,000 people reported to the FBI in 2016. This left us with a total of 47 places in Arizona to rank.
We ranked each place for each criteria from 1 to 47 where 1 in any particular category is the safest.
Next, we averaged each places two criteria to create a Safety Index. We crowned the place with the lowest overall Safety Score "The Safest Place In Arizona".
The safest city, based on population, is Florence. The most dangerous? Page, where residents had a 1 in 13 chance of being the victim of a crime.
Note: This report is not an analysis of the effectiveness of local police departments, nor does it reflect the fact that people from out of town may come into a community and cause a crime. It simply looks at where crimes occurred most frequently, based on a city's population.
Population: 31,130Rank Last Year: 3 (Up 2) Violent Crimes Per 100k: 70 (6th safest) Property Crimes Per 100k: 485 (1st safest)
Taking the crown as the safest city in Arizona for 2018 is Florence -- a classic example of everything that makes Arizona great.
We are talking about only having a 1 in 206.2 chance of being the victim of a property crime and a 1 in 1,415 chance of being the victim of violent crime.
That's crazy safe. Compare it to Little Rock, AR -- the most dangerous city in the country -- with roughly a 1 in 30 chance of beign the victim of a property crime.
Population: 64,563Rank Last Year: 5 (Up 3) Violent Crimes Per 100k: 54 (3rd safest) Property Crimes Per 100k: 1,587 (8th safest)
If you're thinking of moving to Arizona and safety is a top priority, then you can't do much better than Buckeye -- the 2nd safest in the Grand Canyon State.
Buckeye is the kind of place that old timers talk about longingly -- where kids can run around during the day without adult supervision and you can leave your front door unlocked.
You only had a 1 in 63.0 chance of being the victim of a property crime in Buckeye.
Population: 255,899Rank Last Year: 2 (Down 1) Violent Crimes Per 100k: 78 (7th safest) Property Crimes Per 100k: 1,316 (4th safest)
You might not post on Facebook that much, but now's a time to change that. Be proud that Gilbert ranks as the 3rd safest city in Arizona.
Go on. With all the negativity on Facebook all the time now, this is great news for Gilbert.
We'll wait here safe and sound.
4. ThatcherPopulation: 5,019 Rank Last Year: 10 (Up 6) Violent Crimes Per 100k: 0 (1st safest) Property Crimes Per 100k: 1,773 (11th safest) You might be surprised to find Thatcher this high on the list, but, trust us, no one in Thatcher is surpised.
This gem of a place in the Grand Canyon State boasts the 11th best property crime rate and 1st best violent crime rate for 2018.
5. Oro Valley
Population: 44,089Rank Last Year: 4 (Down 1) Violent Crimes Per 100k: 65 (5th safest) Property Crimes Per 100k: 1,481 (7th safest)
Finishing just inside the top five is Oro Valley, AZ.
You get what you pay for in Oro Valley -- super low crime rates. A 1 in 1,520 chance of being the victim of violent crime gives Oro Valley residents a well earned feeling of safety.
We'd move to Oro Valley in heartbeat.
6. Paradise Valley
Population: 14,155Rank Last Year: 9 (Up 3) Violent Crimes Per 100k: 63 (4th safest) Property Crimes Per 100k: 1,638 (9th safest)
Everyone is trying to get in on the quality of life in Paradise Valley, the 6th safest city in Arizona.
The town of some 14,155 people will have to try and continue to try and keep Paradise Valley a secret, lest crime starts going up simply because of people breaking down the doors to get into town.
See what we did there Paradise Valley?
Population: 25,792Rank Last Year: 1 (Down 6) Violent Crimes Per 100k: 89 (8th safest) Property Crimes Per 100k: 1,453 (6th safest)
Sahuarita is a feel good story of safety and comfort in Arizona.
It has 1 in 68.8 chance of being the victim of a property crime and a 1 in 1,121 chance of being the victim of violent crime.
That's some of the tops you'll find across the country -- nevermind just in Arizona.
Population: 15,196Rank Last Year: 11 (Up 3) Violent Crimes Per 100k: 171 (13th safest) Property Crimes Per 100k: 1,184 (2nd safest)
The eighth safest city in Arizona for 2018 goes to Somerton. Let's see why.
There were only 26 violent crimes here last year -- which is basically 0 for the average citizen. And there were only 180 property crimes to boot.
9. San Luis
Population: 32,227Rank Last Year: 8 (Down 1) Violent Crimes Per 100k: 121 (11th safest) Property Crimes Per 100k: 1,324 (5th safest)
If you're looking for a safe place to live in Arizona, may we present San Luis as an option.
While it doesn't sit at the very top of the chart for Arizona, it still has an impressively low crime rate.
427 property crimes occurred here, which nets out to being the 5th best in Arizona on a rate basis.
Population: 49,627Rank Last Year: 7 (Down 3) Violent Crimes Per 100k: 195 (16th safest) Property Crimes Per 100k: 1,305 (3rd safest)
And just making it into the top ten for 2018 is Maricopa.
But we know they don't take this spot for granted -- Maricopa residents can attest that their home town deserves to be the on list.
In total, there were 97 violent crimes and 648 property crimes in Maricopa; that's really good for a place of 49,627 people and definitely something to be happy about looking forward into 2018.
There You Have It - The Safest In Arizona
Looking at the data, you can tell that Florence is as safe as they come, according to science and data.
But as most Arizona residents would agree, almost every place here has its safe and not safe parts. So just make sure you're informed ahead of time.Most dangerous cities in Arizona:3rd Most Dangerous: Tucson 2nd Most Dangerous: Winslow Most Dangerous: Page
Detailed List Of The Safest Cities To Live In Arizona For 2018
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