There’s a the age old question everyone thinks about when they decide to move to a city in Hawaii:
Should I buy a place or rent?
Well, we aren’t here today to solve that problem for you exactly. We are just assuming you’ll do the right thing and a buy a place 😉
And while we are happy to tell you the best place to live in Hawaii, this analysis is going to tackle the question of the best place to buy a house as an investor. That is we are going to try and determine the up and coming cities in the Aloha State.
To do that we are going to look at places in Hawaii that are growing faster than average, but where home prices are below average. In every day terms, the “deals”.
The best deal in Hawaii at the moment? That would be Hawaiian Ocean View according to our analysis.
Here’s a look at the top ten places to buy a home in Hawaii for 2019:
- Hawaiian Ocean View (Homes For Sale)
- Maili (Photos | Homes For Sale)
- Waipio Acres (Homes For Sale)
- Hanamaulu (Homes For Sale)
- Honalo (Homes For Sale)
- Mountain View (Homes For Sale)
- Orchidlands Estates (Homes For Sale)
- Kapolei (Photos | Homes For Sale)
- Kualapuu (Photos | Homes For Sale)
- Makawao (Photos | Homes For Sale)
The methodology that wen’t into this can be a bit complicated, so we’ll break it down for you in as much detail as we can below.
For more Hawaii reading, check out:
How do you determine the best places to buy a home in Hawaii for 2019?
We were in real estate for almost five years and have been working on this site for another three. Suffice is to say, we’ve put a lot of thought into what goes into finding a good place to buy a home.
So all that thinking has come to this moment where we get to spell out how we’d approach finding an up-and-coming place to live in Hawaii. Put differently, the analysis will try to find places in Hawaii with undervalued homes relative to pent up demand.
To do that we looked at the most recent American Community Survey Census data for 2013-2017 and compared it to the previous vintage (2012-2016). Specifically, we used the following criteria:
- Y-o-Y Change In Population (People want to live here)
- Y-o-Y Change In Median Home Prices (People are willing to pay for it)
- Home Prices Relative To The State Average (It’s still kinda cheap)
We want places that are growing, have seen home prices increase in recent years, and are still “cheap” for Hawaii with the following caveats:
- Home prices had to be within 20% of the state average (Much lower than that and you get to some of the more dangerous places)
- Home prices increased in the last year, and
- Above 5,000 people (Bigger cities have more data points)
So of the 150 cities and towns in Hawaii, only 84 places made it through our initial filters to even be considered.
We then ranked each place from 1 to 84 for the criteria mentioned above with 1 being the best for that criteria. We averaged the rankings to create a “best place to buy” index with the place having the lowest index being the best.
Turns out that Hawaiian Ocean View is the best potential gem in the not-so-rough in the Aloha State.
Read on for more on these places.
In 1955 the Kapolei master plan was drafted and revised 3 different times beginning in 1974. In 1977 the new General Provision Plan adopted the Oahu General Plan which dubbed Kapolei “second urban center” on the island of Oahu. In 1986 the Ewa Master Plan was revised to include the SUC and the initial residential construction in the Kapolei area began in the late 1980s with commercial developments springing up shortly thereafter. Nearly two decades later, in 2006 the Kapolei area had more than 800 companies, agencies, and organizations making up approximately 25,000 jobs. As of the 2010 census, the Kapolei CDP had a population of 15,186 people.
There You Have It – The Best Places To Purchase A House In Hawaii for 2019
There’s our analysis of the best places to buy a house in Hawaii. And, to be clear, we aren’t necessarily saying these places are the best places to live, just that it looks like they might be in a couple of years based on the data.
In fact, every place in the following table meets our criteria, so even though it may not look super long, remember we started off with all 150 places in the state.
So if we’d could rent or buy in these cities, we’d definitely buy.
For more Hawaii reading, check out: