These Are The 10 Safest Cities In Virginia
We used data and science to determine the places in Virginia where everyone sleeps safe and sound.
We all want the finer things in life. Love, comfort and safety are at the top of everyone's list. For a lot of people who live in the fine state of Virginia, safety isn't a problem, but we don't live in the safest state, either. Virginia is somewhere in the middle.
The purpose of this post is to determine where the safest places to live are in the Old Dominion. Those places where crime is usually something you hear about on Facebook, but not in your local paper.
After analyzing 60 places in Virginia with a population of more than 5,000, we came up with this list as the safest places here:
- Manassas Park
- Fairfax City
Read on below to see how we crunched the numbers and how your town ranked.
How we calculated the safest cities in Virginia
While there are surveys and public polls on what cities in a state are the safest, we didn't want to rely on speculation and opinion. Instead, we looked at the hard numbers from the FBI's most recent report of crime (2014). Specifically, we analyzed the FBI's Uniform Crime Report which summarizes the number of property crimes and violent crimes in each city per year. We used three criteria:
- Violent crimes per capita (murders, assaults, rapes, armed robberies)
- Property crimes per capita (thefts, burglaries, motor vehicle thefts)
- Total crimes per capita
For example, there were a total of 26 crimes committed in Bridgewater which had a reported population of 5,938. That means the number of crimes per capita is 0.00438 which translates into a 1 in 228 chance of being the victim of a crime.
We only looked at cities that have populations of more than 5,000 people reported to the FBI in 2014. This left us with a total of 60 places in Virginia to rank.
We ranked each place for each criteria from 1 to 60 where 1 in any particular category is the safest.
Next, we averaged each places three criteria to create a Safety Index. We crowned the place with the lowest overall Safety Score "The Safest Place In Virginia".
The safest city, based on population, is Bridgewater. The most dangerous? Portsmouth, where residents had a 1 in 352 chance of being the victim of a crime.
Note: This report is not an analysis of the effectiveness of local police departments, nor does it reflect the fact that people from out of town may come into a community and cause a crime. It simply looks at where crimes occurred most frequently, based on a city's population.
Population: 5,938Property Crime Rank: 6Violent Crime Rank: 20
Population: 8,821Property Crime Rank: 10Violent Crime Rank: 19
Population: 7,203Property Crime Rank: 19Violent Crime Rank: 32
Population: 16,527Property Crime Rank: 26Violent Crime Rank: 23
Population: 43,842Property Crime Rank: 23Violent Crime Rank: 34
Population: 12,098Property Crime Rank: 18Violent Crime Rank: 53
7. Manassas Park
Population: 16,618Property Crime Rank: 25Violent Crime Rank: 63
Population: 15,494Property Crime Rank: 33Violent Crime Rank: 71
Population: 6,537Property Crime Rank: 34Violent Crime Rank: 65
10. Fairfax City
Population: 24,345Property Crime Rank: 54Violent Crime Rank: 33
There You Have It
Looking at the data, you can tell that anything within a 15-minute drive of Bridgewater is the most desirable, according to science and data. But as most Virginia residents would agree, almost every place here is awesome.Most dangerous cities in Virginia:3rd Most Dangerous: South Boston 2nd Most Dangerous: Emporia Most Dangerous: Portsmouth
Detailed List Of The Safest Places To Live In Virginia
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