These Are The 10 Safest Cities In Virginia For 2017
We used data and science to determine the places in Virginia where everyone sleeps safe and sound.
We all want the finer things in life. Love, comfort and safety are at the top of everyone's list. For a lot of people who live in the fine state of Virginia, safety isn't a problem, but we don't live in the safest state, either. Virginia is somewhere in the middle.
The purpose of this post is to determine where the safest places to live are in the Old Dominion. Those places where crime is usually something you hear about on Facebook, but not in your local paper.
After analyzing 59 places in Virginia with a population of more than 5,000, we came up with this list as the safest places here:
- Buena Vista
- Manassas Park
Read on below to see how we crunched the numbers and how your town ranked. Or for more reading on safe places to read, check out:
How we calculated the safest cities in Virginia
While there are surveys and public polls on what cities in a state are the safest, we didn't want to rely on speculation and opinion. Instead, we looked at the hard numbers from the FBI's most recent report of crime (Sept 2015). Specifically, we analyzed the FBI's Uniform Crime Report which summarizes the number of property crimes and violent crimes in each city per year. We used three criteria:
- Violent crimes per capita (murders, assaults, rapes, armed robberies)
- Property crimes per capita (thefts, burglaries, motor vehicle thefts)
- Total crimes per capita
For example, there were a total of 221 crimes committed in Bridgewater which had a reported population of 5,844. That means the number of crimes per capita is 0.0378 which translates into a 1 in 26 chance of being the victim of a crime.
We only looked at cities that have populations of more than 5,000 people reported to the FBI in 2014. This left us with a total of 59 places in Virginia to rank.
We ranked each place for each criteria from 1 to 59 where 1 in any particular category is the safest.
Next, we averaged each places three criteria to create a Safety Index. We crowned the place with the lowest overall Safety Score "The Safest Place In Virginia".
The safest city, based on population, is Bridgewater. The most dangerous? Portsmouth, where residents had a 1 in 14 chance of being the victim of a crime.
Note: This report is not an analysis of the effectiveness of local police departments, nor does it reflect the fact that people from out of town may come into a community and cause a crime. It simply looks at where crimes occurred most frequently, based on a city's population.
Population: 5,844Property Crime Rank: 16Violent Crime Rank: 205
Population: 8,658Property Crime Rank: 131Violent Crime Rank: 407
3. Buena Vista
Population: 6,666Property Crime Rank: 157Violent Crime Rank: 560
Population: 16,341Property Crime Rank: 341Violent Crime Rank: 385
5. Manassas Park
Population: 15,625Property Crime Rank: 325Violent Crime Rank: 577
Population: 7,071Property Crime Rank: 314Violent Crime Rank: 649
Population: 12,077Property Crime Rank: 567Violent Crime Rank: 708
Population: 14,754Property Crime Rank: 739Violent Crime Rank: 496
Population: 5,158Property Crime Rank: 984Violent Crime Rank: 248
Population: 6,506Property Crime Rank: 840Violent Crime Rank: 1,181
There You Have It - The Safest In Virginia
Looking at the data, you can tell that anything within a 15-minute drive of Bridgewater is the most desirable, according to science and data. But as most Virginia residents would agree, almost every place here is awesome.Most dangerous cities in Virginia:3rd Most Dangerous: Franklin 2nd Most Dangerous: Emporia Most Dangerous: Portsmouth